Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.516917 0.592440 0.674378 0.769780 0.877704 0.995903 1.135061
2025-02-23 0.395422 0.496104 0.614657 0.764133 0.947126 1.163388 1.437856
2025-03-02 0.309513 0.422279 0.565453 0.759570 1.014767 1.337562 1.775391
2025-03-09 0.252134 0.371830 0.534742 0.770785 1.101782 1.546767 2.187111
2025-03-16 0.203179 0.322449 0.495714 0.762747 1.160147 1.725009 2.582682
2025-03-23 0.172281 0.292557 0.478046 0.780446 1.255303 1.964806 3.094820
2025-03-30 0.142327 0.257901 0.446598 0.771052 1.306927 2.145793 3.542434
2025-04-06 0.122679 0.236101 0.431297 0.783721 1.393183 2.388341 4.112673
2025-04-13 0.101673 0.207619 0.399591 0.763058 1.420178 2.537513 4.548837
2025-04-20 0.090926 0.195894 0.395122 0.788709 1.528971 2.833590 5.262271
2025-04-27 0.082432 0.186837 0.393854 0.819455 1.649980 3.163146 6.068842
2025-05-04 0.072843 0.173604 0.382189 0.828099 1.730089 3.427329 6.785739
2025-05-11 0.063567 0.159407 0.366619 0.827315 1.793272 3.670102 7.495853
2025-05-18 0.055807 0.147072 0.352899 0.828197 1.859757 3.926508 8.260414
2025-05-25 0.049079 0.135786 0.339552 0.827721 1.923113 4.183460 9.053679
2025-06-01 0.044298 0.128334 0.333640 0.842776 2.021336 4.520968 10.043945
2025-06-08 0.038870 0.118030 0.319215 0.835886 2.070009 4.760606 10.857069
2025-06-15 0.035599 0.112875 0.316503 0.856381 2.183186 5.148808 12.022620
2025-06-22 0.031313 0.103895 0.302521 0.846904 2.224861 5.385074 12.883027
2025-06-29 0.028583 0.098910 0.298184 0.861237 2.325442 5.763084 14.094183
2025-07-06 0.024792 0.089772 0.280933 0.838979 2.332562 5.927651 14.838550
2025-07-13 0.023212 0.087381 0.282280 0.867217 2.471354 6.414465 16.374487
2025-07-20 0.021930 0.085702 0.285428 0.900954 2.628625 6.961016 18.102313